PMP Practice: Define Scope
Question 3 of 14 in Develop and Manage Project Scope
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Correct answer: 5 sprints
Explanation
To forecast sprint capacity using historical velocity, calculate the team's average story points per sprint from past performance. Adding the completed points: 28 + 32 + 26 + 34 + 30 + 28 = 178 total points across 6 sprints. Dividing 178 by 6 gives an average velocity of 29.67 points per sprint. To complete the remaining 145 points at this velocity: 145 ÷ 29.67 = 4.89 sprints. Since partial sprints cannot be delivered, this rounds up to 5 complete sprints. This calculation method provides a realistic forecast based on demonstrated team performance rather than wishful thinking or theoretical capacity. Luna should communicate this 5-sprint forecast while noting that velocity can fluctuate and the team should inspect and adapt as they progress.
**Why not A:** Four sprints would require an average velocity of approximately 36 story points per sprint (145 ÷ 4 = 36.25), which significantly exceeds the team's demonstrated average of 29.67 points. This underestimates the time needed and creates an unrealistic commitment that could lead to quality issues and team burnout.
**Why not B:** Seven sprints would imply an average velocity of approximately 21 story points per sprint (145 ÷ 7 = 20.7), which significantly underestimates the team's demonstrated capacity. This overly conservative forecast wastes resources and unnecessarily delays the product launch when the team has consistently delivered higher output.
**Why not C:** Six sprints would require an average velocity of approximately 24 story points per sprint (145 ÷ 6 = 24.2), which is below the team's demonstrated average of 29.67 points. While closer to the correct answer, this estimate still does not accurately reflect the team's historical performance data.
Key Concept
This question covers Define Scope under Develop and Manage Project Scope (Process).
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